Future study on the relationship between the environment and Cancer in the City of Kashan

Abstract

In recent decades, urbanization and far-reaching environmental changes have brought new challenges for human health. Air, water, and soil pollution, climate change, and exposure to chemicals caused by human activities have increased the risk of cancer in the city of Kashan. This study uses a future study to identify the most critical environmental factors affecting cancer and proposes practical solutions. Through in-depth interviews with ex- perts in the fields of environmental science, public health, and medicine, 120 influential variables were iden- tified. These variables were refined into 17 key factors, and the primary factors were identified using Mic Mac software. The data obtained from the cross-impact questionnaire was then analyzed by experts, and three plausible scenarios were developed using the Scenario Wizard. The results show that achieving the optimal scenario requires measures such as the efficient use of pollution reduction technologies, the implementation of sustainable management strategies for heavy metals, increasing safety in nuclear power plants, improving environmental literacy, and enforcing strict standards for harmful emissions. By applying future study methods, this study closes gaps in existing research and provides actionable strategies to mitigate cancer risks in the environment. The results can serve as a basis for environmental health policy decisions in Kashan and similar regions. Future study could assess the impact of implementing these strategies and identify new risk factors.