Predictive modeling of spring-back in pre-punched sheet roll forming using machine learning

Abstract

This study outlines an experimental and computational endeavor aimed at developing a machine learning model to estimate spring-back values utilizing the decision tree methodology. A design of experiment approach was employed to collect a dataset, and based on the experimental results, a precise model was constructed to predict spring-back values. The model considered parameters such as thickness, diameter of circle hole, distance between the center hole and flange edge, and hole spacing. Various hyper parameters, including max depth and minimum samples for split, were explored, with configurations such as (30,5), (20,8), and (10,2) being evaluated to identify the optimal model for spring-back prediction. Analysis of the results demonstrated that the decision tree models accurately estimated spring-back values in cold roll forming of pre-punched sheets based on the input parameters. The coefficient of determination in the test section for decision tree models with parameters (30,5), (20,8), and (10,2) was found to be 0.90, 0.98, and 0.96, respectively. Additionally, the percentage of absolute error in the test section for the same decision tree models was calculated as 8.84%, 6.18%, and 7.6%, respectively.